Sakamako Baƙon Ciniki: Kasuwannin Hasashe na China don Haɗa wasan Rarraba Ƙasar Amurka

Sakamako Baƙon Ciniki: Kasuwannin Hasashe na China don Haɗa wasan Rarraba Ƙasar Amurka

Masu gudanar da aikin kwallon kafa na Nevada suna fuskantar ƙarin matsin lamba. Kasuwannin hasashe, waɗanda ke haɓaka cikin sauri a duk faɗin Amurka, suna kalubalantar kasuwancin kwallon kafa na gargajiya. Waɗannan sabbin tayin kuma suna ɗaukar kaso na kasuwa. Manyan jami'ai a masana'antar suna nuna damuwa game da tasirin wannan cigaba.

Kasuwancin kwallon kafa na Nevada ya ragu da kusan dala miliyan 249 a rabin farko na 2026 idan aka kwatanta da lokaci guda a bara. Wannan yana ƙara damuwar masu gudanar da aiki na gargajiya game da canjin halayyar mabukaci da kuma fitowar sabbin samfuran kwallon kafa. Yanayin da ke faruwa a Nevada na iya zama alama ga dukkan kasuwannin Amurka.

Adadi da Gaskiya

Tun daga Hukumar Kula da Wasannin Nevada, Joe Asher, Shugaba na Boomer's Sportsbook da kuma wurin shakatawa na Hall of Fame, ya jaddada cewa kasuwannin hasashe suna ɗaukar kaso na kasuwa daga wuraren shakatawa na Nevada da aka ba da lasisi. Eric Hession, Shugaba na Caesars Digital, ya kuma yarda cewa sashen yana fara shafar kuɗin shiga na wuraren shakatawa. Nevada kuma ta dauki matakai game da dandamali kamar Kalshi, Robinhood, Coinbase, da Polymarket. Hukumar Kula da Wasannin Nevada (NGCB) ta aika umarnin dakatarwa kuma ta shigar da kararrakin farar hula. Misali, a ranar 2 ga Fabrairu, 2026, sun yi ƙoƙarin dakatar da kasuwannin hasashe na Coinbase na ƙasa a matsayin kwallon kafa ba bisa ka'ida ba. A ranar 29 ga Janairu, 2026, masu kula da harkokin sun kuma samu katangar kwana 14 ga Polymarket, yayin da ake duba dokokinsa.

Abin da ya fi dacewa a nan shi ne wurin da kasuwannin hasashe ke aiki a ciki. Ba kamar wuraren shakatawa na gargajiya ba, sukan yi aiki a ƙarƙashin ƙa'idojin kasuwar kuɗi maimakon dokokin wasan kwaikwayo na jiha. Wannan yana haifar da yanayi mai sarkakiya. Yawancin masu gudanar da aikin kwallon kafa da aka ba da lasisi suna jayayya cewa suna fuskantar tsadar biyayya, haraji, da kuma sa-ido-ido fiye da kamfanonin da ke ba da irin waɗannan samfuran a ƙarƙashin tsarin sarrafawa daban-daban. Kalshi da Robinhood suna fuskantar shari'o'i sama da 20 da umarnin dakatarwa. Duk da haka, masana'antar kasuwannin hasashe tana ci gaba da haɓaka. Kalshi ya ba da rahoton ƙimar ciniki ta mako da ta wuce dala biliyan 1 a watan Disamba 2025, tare da sama da kasuwanni 3,500 da ake samu.

Tarihi

Magana game da kasuwannin hasashe ba sabon abu ba ne a masana'antar wasan kwaikwayo ta Amurka amma yanzu tana ƙara tsananta. Muhawara tana ta'allaka ne akan inda iyakar take tsakanin kwangilolin taron kuɗi da kuma kwallon kafa. Jihohi da dama na riga suna kalubalantar dokokin wasu samfuran kasuwannin hasashe. A watan Fabrairu 2025, Wakiliyar Amurka Dina Titus na Nevada ta aika wasika ga Hukumar Kula da Ciniki ta Amurka (CFTC). Ta yi jayayya cewa abubuwan wasan kwaikwayo a kan kasuwannin hasashe "suna kawo wannan masana'antar da ba ta daɗe ba kai tsaye cikin rikici tare da masu sarrafa wasannin da jihohi ke sarrafawa." A watan Maris 2025, ƙabilun Baƙin Amirka sun aika korafi ga CFTC, suna jayayya cewa ana keta Dokar Kula da Wasannin Indiya. Hukumar Kula da Wasannin Nevada ma ta aika wasiƙar dakatarwa ta farko ga Kalshi a watan Maris saboda ketare haƙƙin Nevada na kula da ayyukan wasan kwaikwayo. New Jersey da Maryland sun biyo baya.

"Kalshi ya taso da tambayoyi masu muhimmanci game da yadda ake fassara kalmomin doka, don gano niyyar majalisa da kuma warware tasirin tsakanin abin da ke zama caca da jihohi ke sarrafawa da kuma kwangiloli na ƙasar da gwamnati ke sarrafawa." - US District Judge Andrew Gordon, game da shari'ar Kalshi a Nevada

Ga masu gudanar da aikin kwallon kafa, sakamakon ya wuce Nevada. Idan kasuwannin hasashe suka ci gaba da samun karɓuwa daga mabukaci yayin da suke zaune a wajen ƙa'idojin wasan kwaikwayo na gargajiya, masu gudanar da aikin da aka ba da lasisi na iya fuskantar ƙarin matsin lamba kan ƙimar kwallon kafa, samun abokin ciniki, da kuma riba mai dorewa. Maganar da aka yi a gaban masu kula da harkokin Nevada ta jaddada abin da jama'a da dama a masana'antar ke tattaunawa a sirrance tsawon watanni: kasuwannin hasashe ba a sake ganin su a matsayin samfurin niche ba amma a matsayin gaskiyar gasa da ke da ikon sake fasalin yanayin kwallon kafa na Amurka. Dangantakar tsakanin wuraren shakatawa da aka ba da lasisi da masu gudanar da kasuwannin hasashe za ta kasance ɗaya daga cikin ci gaban da ake sa ido sosai a fannin wasan kwaikwayo na Arewacin Amurka a sauran rabin 2026.

Me ya sa hakan ke da mahimmanci ga 'yan wasan Jamus

Ci gaban da ke faruwa a Amurka sau da yawa yana kafa misali ga sauran kasuwannin da aka sarrafa, gami da Jamus. Yarjejeniyar Kasashen Tsakanin Kasashen kan Wasan kwaikwayo 2021 (GlüStV 2021) ta kafa ƙa'idodi a fili don wasan kwaikwayo na kan layi anan. Hukumar Haɗin Kan Jihohi kan Wasan kwaikwayo (GGL) tana da alhakin biyayya da bayar da lasisi. Saboda haka, 'yan wasan Jamus suna aiki a cikin yanayi mai sarrafawa sosai. Sabis kamar kasuwannin hasashe, waɗanda ke aiki a cikin wani wuri mai duhu na doka, ba su da matsala a Jamus a halin yanzu. Wannan kuma yana da alaƙa da tsauraran ƙa'idodi. Waɗannan sun haɗa da iyakar ajiya na Yuro 1,000 a kowane wata da kuma iyakar fare na Yuro 1 a kowane juyawa akan injunan ramummuka na kan layi. Tsarin sa ido na tsakiya LUGAS yana kuma tabbatar da kare 'yan wasa da matasa. Ga 'yan wasan Jamus, wannan yana nufin ƙarin tsaro da kuma bayyani, amma kuma ƙananan nau'ikan kwallon kafa na gwaji. Ba a sa ran kasuwannin hasashe za su sami lasisin Jamus a nan gaba kadan, saboda ba su dace da tsarin da aka kafa da kuma iyakacin GlüStV 2021 ba. GGL yana mai da hankali kan aiwatar da ƙa'idodin yanzu da kuma yaki da wasan kwaikwayo ba bisa ka'ida ba.

Abin da ke nufi ga gidajen caca masu lasisin GGL

Ga gidajen caca na kan layi masu rike da lasisin GGL, yanayin da ke faruwa a Amurka ya tabbatar da hanyar da suke sarrafawa. Yayin da masu samarwa na Amurka ke fama da rashin tabbas na doka da kuma gasa mai tsanani daga kasuwannin hasashe da ba a sarrafawa ba, gidajen caca na GGL suna aiki a cikin tsarin da aka bayyana a fili. Dole ne su bi ƙa'idodin Jamus masu tsauri, amma a madadin haka suna ba da yanayi wanda ke kare 'yan wasa kuma yana da doka. Wannan yana samar da amincewa da kuma kwanciyar hankali ga masana'antar. Bayanan da ba su dace ba suna ci gaba da zama babban ciwo ga GGL, wanda koyaushe ke ɗaukar mataki game da gidajen caca na kan layi ba tare da lasisin Jamus ba. Ga 'yan wasa a Jamus, saboda haka yana da kyau koyaushe a tsaya akan jerin sunayen GGL don yin wasa bisa doka da aminci. Gwaje-gwaje tare da bayanan kasuwar duhu na iya zama tsada kuma ya haifar da sakamakon doka anan.